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#895 Plausible Arguments for an Absurd Conclusion

July 07, 2024
Q

Dear Dr Craig,

In your work on fatalism, you have written that fatalism is unintelligible and absurd and hence we are justified in rejecting it even if we are unable to identify the flaws of its supporting arguments.

The implicit criterion operative in your argument seems to be that when a given position (fatalism in this case) strikes us as absurd, false or inintelligible on an intuitive level, then we are justified in rejecting it even if the supporting arguments seems to be good and hence we cannot discern their flaws.

But some critics of your work have suggested that your position is the same than (or very similar to) Daniel Dennett's views on natural theology.

As you commented in a recent podcast on Dennett's death, his reply to your theistic arguments was that when very plausible and convincing premises support an obviously false conclusion (like God's existence), then "the lesson to be learned" is that we have to deny one of those premises (even if we cannot discern its flaw).

My questions are:

1) If a given position strikes us intuitively as "obviously" absurd, false, unintelligible or metaphysically impossible (e.g. God's existence to Dennett; objective moral values to Nietszche; fatalism to William Lane Craig; or Divine Simplicity to Ryan Mullins), are we justified in holding our  intuitions even if the position in question is based on very plausible and convincing premises? In this case, are not we begging the question against the "obviously" absurd proposition?

2) Given that what is absurd seems to be "person-relative" and great philosophical minds have defended such supposedly absurd positions (e.g. fatalism by Richard Taylor and others; divine simplicity by Alexander Pruss and others, etc.), is not more reasonable to follow the premises wherever they lead even if they lead to a conclusion which seems absurd to us?

3) Are there any epistemological criteria or standards to decide objectively when we have to reject the apparently plausible premises for an "absurd" conclusion, or when to accept the conclusion despite its apparent absurdity because the supporting premises are very good?

Thanks.

Austin

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Dr. craig’s response


A

You’re right, Austin, that Dennett’s response to the theistic arguments is the same as my (opening) response to the argument for fatalism. The difference is that Dennett had no reason to think that theism is absurd or unintelligible (or at least gave none), whereas I do explain why fatalism is unintelligible.

Rejecting seemingly plausible arguments for an obviously false conclusion is common in philosophy. Two examples that come readily to mind are Zeno’s arguments against the possibility of motion and McTaggart’s argument against the reality of time. The reality of motion and time is so evident that any argument that they are unreal has got to be flawed, even though Zeno’s arguments resisted solution for centuries and McTaggart’s paradox continues to puzzle philosophers.

By contrast there is nothing evidently absurd or unintelligible about theism. True, during the latter third of the 20th century, some philosophers argued against the coherence of theism. But the net result of the debates that were sparked was a strengthening of theism, as the coherence of various divine attributes was defended by theistic philosophers and the anti-theistic attack defeated. Dennett gave no reason at all for his conviction that theism is evidently false.

By contrast, as I explained, fatalism (which holds that everything that happens happens necessarily) is unintelligible because it posits a constraint on libertarian free actions (and other causally indeterminate events) that makes no sense. Events which are utterly causally indeterminate are said to be somehow constrained to happen—but by what? Fate? What is that but a mere word? No one has been able to make sense of this alleged constraint.

So in the case of fatalism, we have good reason to think that the position is false, whereas in the case of theism we do not.

So in response to your specific questions:

1. If a given position strikes us intuitively as "obviously" absurd, false, unintelligible or metaphysically impossible, are we justified in holding our intuitions even if the position in question is based on very plausible and convincing premises?

Sometimes, yes, if the falsity of the position is more obvious than the truth of the premisses. In such a case you should reject one of the premisses. In this case, are not we begging the question against the "obviously" absurd proposition?  Not at all! You can explain why the position in question is obviously false, as I have done regarding fatalism. The non-theist will similarly have to explain why atheism is more obviously true than the premisses of a given theistic argument.

2) Given that what is absurd seems to be "person-relative" and great philosophical minds have defended such supposedly absurd positions, is [it] not more reasonable to follow the premises wherever they lead even if they lead to a conclusion which seems absurd to us?

If you’re almost alone in finding the position absurd or unintelligible, then it should give you pause that most other people do not agree with you. But in cases like fatalism, Zeno’s paradoxes, and McTaggart’s paradox, almost everybody does find the position in question to be obviously false. By contrast few philosophers these days find theism, when appropriately articulated, to be obviously false. That can help to inspire confidence in our judgement. I shouldn’t be too worried about a few philosophers’ defending the unintelligible position. Cicero once remarked that no position is so absurd that it has not been defended by some philosopher.

3) Are there any epistemological criteria or standards to decide objectively when we have to reject the apparently plausible premises for an "absurd" conclusion, or when to accept the conclusion despite its apparent absurdity because the supporting premises are very good?

I haven’t really thought about this much, but off the top of my head it seems to me that you should accept an argument for an apparently absurd conclusion only if all the premisses of that argument are more plausibly true than the conclusion. If the conclusion is more obviously false than the premisses, then you may reject the argument. To avoid arbitrariness, you should be able to articulate some reason for thinking that the conclusion is more obviously false than the premisses.

- William Lane Craig